Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.308601 1.616728 2.021761 2.613504 3.494831 4.833464 7.200338
2025-05-25 0.948417 1.292786 1.823807 2.779681 4.682140 9.067446 24.663334
2025-06-01 0.743844 1.072804 1.631226 2.786310 5.658857 15.558687 122.265957
2025-06-08 0.606745 0.905845 1.445329 2.670940 6.274394 24.336675 2933.177641
2025-06-15 0.537852 0.831184 1.394128 2.809495 7.893770 53.501178 NaN
2025-06-22 0.476867 0.754821 1.312272 2.823990 9.231047 122.408849 NaN
2025-06-29 0.423298 0.681035 1.213885 2.739300 10.090110 292.379232 NaN
2025-07-06 0.382605 0.624614 1.138923 2.687619 11.175588 1239.981442 NaN
2025-07-13 0.365580 0.611452 1.158797 2.959681 15.636405 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.345349 0.588147 1.148031 3.124397 20.573940 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.321418 0.553467 1.100352 3.119538 24.062209 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.296737 0.514079 1.032522 2.995893 25.449153 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.281150 0.493173 1.011697 3.083515 32.761644 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.269717 0.480035 1.009753 3.269402 47.770335 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.254765 0.457140 0.975446 3.272651 59.364617 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.238005 0.428388 0.919087 3.126275 62.096287 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.230024 0.419014 0.918369 3.300731 99.104771 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.219562 0.402712 0.893630 3.319015 133.876172 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.207772 0.382199 0.852610 3.212088 149.485738 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.197788 0.365184 0.820162 3.147015 178.970834 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.195270 0.365825 0.843959 3.491053 609.008540 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.190500 0.360471 0.847307 3.701100 2905.372679 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.183187 0.348159 0.825190 3.694885 10960.054892 NaN NaN